S&P 5007,650.50+0.17%Nasdaq26,522.54+0.39%Dow51,682.64-0.18%Nikkei 22565,018.95+1.38%Hang Seng24,750.78+0.60%EuroStoxx 506,236.20-1.37%Dollar (DXY)100.22+0.00%EUR/USD1.15+0.18%USD/JPY156.85+0.46%GBP/USD1.34+0.26%USD/CNY6.70-0.15%US 10Y yield5.00+1.03%US 5Y yield4.86+1.15%Gold4,424.90+0.57%Silver66.56+1.66%Copper6.62+0.43%Platinum1,803.50+0.68%Palladium1,306.20+1.24%WTI100.30-1.58%Brent103.87-0.91%Henry Hub2.91+0.38%Gasoline3.53+0.58%Heating oil5.06-1.10%Wheat714.25-1.75%Corn527.50-0.57%Soybeans1,303.50-1.23%Coffee294.55+1.38%Sugar17.36-0.34%Cocoa5,327.00-7.71%Cotton77.38-1.31%Lithium ETF70.50-0.56%Uranium ETF41.65-2.41%Rare Earths ETF69.06-0.06%Copper Miners ETF87.28+0.77%Bitcoin81,244.98+0.42%Ethereum2,637.29+0.99%Solana111.48-0.99%S&P 5007,650.50+0.17%Nasdaq26,522.54+0.39%Dow51,682.64-0.18%Nikkei 22565,018.95+1.38%Hang Seng24,750.78+0.60%EuroStoxx 506,236.20-1.37%Dollar (DXY)100.22+0.00%EUR/USD1.15+0.18%USD/JPY156.85+0.46%GBP/USD1.34+0.26%USD/CNY6.70-0.15%US 10Y yield5.00+1.03%US 5Y yield4.86+1.15%Gold4,424.90+0.57%Silver66.56+1.66%Copper6.62+0.43%Platinum1,803.50+0.68%Palladium1,306.20+1.24%WTI100.30-1.58%Brent103.87-0.91%Henry Hub2.91+0.38%Gasoline3.53+0.58%Heating oil5.06-1.10%Wheat714.25-1.75%Corn527.50-0.57%Soybeans1,303.50-1.23%Coffee294.55+1.38%Sugar17.36-0.34%Cocoa5,327.00-7.71%Cotton77.38-1.31%Lithium ETF70.50-0.56%Uranium ETF41.65-2.41%Rare Earths ETF69.06-0.06%Copper Miners ETF87.28+0.77%Bitcoin81,244.98+0.42%Ethereum2,637.29+0.99%Solana111.48-0.99%

Research terminal. Evidence, graded.

Data-grounded macro research. Every number computed from official, verifiable sources, and every signal scored against what actually happened.

Open the terminal Weekly reports Forecasts News Daily commentary Prediction markets Pricing

The terminal

24 live panels across volatility, positioning, funding, energy, metals, supply chains, prediction markets and news, refreshed daily from keyless official feeds (CFTC, EIA, CBOE, LBMA, NY Fed, Treasury, IMF PortWatch).

Self-scoring forecasts

Every forecast carries a hard, machine-checkable threshold and a deadline. When it resolves, the Brier score is published next to it, including the misses. No track-record theater.

Weekly reports

COT positioning, prediction-market depth and calibration, funding & liquidity, energy inventories, physical metals, cross-asset volatility: findings first, methods stated, sources dated.

House rules: direction is the sign, extremity is the percentile, never conflated · a z-score on a non-cointegrated spread is astrology · concentrated prediction markets are five wallets, not a crowd · claims trace to transmission mechanisms with observable chain steps · signals are scored 28 days later, no exceptions.

MacroBessent is a research publication and is not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Every figure carries an evidence grade (D descriptive, C conditional with counts, N tested-null, T tested-positive — none exists). Nulls are public in the registry. Sources and as-of dates are on every chart.